With the start of a new baseball season I've decided to change the way I rank my picks. My ratings will rank from 100 - 1000 units, incrementing by the hundred. Say I'm up 2200 units and you bet a dollar a unit, you would be up $2200. I'm thinking this will be an easier way for the both of us to keep track of how good/bad my profitably is.
Today I'm releasing two thousand unit plays.
$$$$$ 1000 $$$$$ Phillies -140 @ Colorado
Reigning CY young winner Cole Hamels is taking the mound for the Phillies, but more importantly, Jason Marquis gets the nod for the Rockies. Marquis posted a hittable 4.53 ERA last year with the Cubs which is right around his career average. He's a right handed pitcher who will try to make a living serving up meatballs in the smallest ballpark in the Majors, and he'll get the chance to do that today against a predominantly left hitting Phillies Club. You could give the 1 1/2 and get em at +130, but I'm going to play it safe here considering Colorado pummeled Brandon Webb last week.
$$$$$ 1000 $$$$$
Braves - 1 1/2 vs. Nationals
Derek Lowe had a great outing last week against the Phillies and should have no problem today with a poor Nationals club. Washington is off to an 0-3 start and the Braves jumped out of the gate quickly taking 2 of 3 in Philly last week. Lay the 1 1/2 as the Braves get it done with ease.
Friday, April 10, 2009
Monday, April 6, 2009
Opening Day
I think and hope that North Carolina wins tonight, but with the way State is playing it's hard to bet against them. Equally, it's hard to bet against North Carolina so I'm avoiding the biggest game in college basketball and putting some money down on the ball diamond.
$$$$ Dodgers +130 @ San Diego
Jake Peavy takes the mound for the Padres today but that doesn't bother me. Peavy struggled in the WBC and at the end of the season last year and overall San Diego can't match up with the Dodgers. Pitching match ups are the key to betting on baseball, and although Peavy is one of the best pitchers in baseball, LA righty Hiroki Kuroda who posted a 3.7 ERA last year (a .373 in one outing against the Padres) will throw enough strikes to get the win. And strikes is all you need to throw against a poor hitting Padres team. Play the Dodgers + the money line.
$$$$ Arizona - 1 1/2 vs. Colorado
I don't need to say much more than Matt Holiday is no longer a Rocky and Brandon Webb gets the start against Aaron Cook. You could play the D-backs to win straight up at -160, but they should be able to assemble enough runs to win by more than one. Play the D-backs in an opening day shellacking.
$$$$ Dodgers +130 @ San Diego
Jake Peavy takes the mound for the Padres today but that doesn't bother me. Peavy struggled in the WBC and at the end of the season last year and overall San Diego can't match up with the Dodgers. Pitching match ups are the key to betting on baseball, and although Peavy is one of the best pitchers in baseball, LA righty Hiroki Kuroda who posted a 3.7 ERA last year (a .373 in one outing against the Padres) will throw enough strikes to get the win. And strikes is all you need to throw against a poor hitting Padres team. Play the Dodgers + the money line.
$$$$ Arizona - 1 1/2 vs. Colorado
I don't need to say much more than Matt Holiday is no longer a Rocky and Brandon Webb gets the start against Aaron Cook. You could play the D-backs to win straight up at -160, but they should be able to assemble enough runs to win by more than one. Play the D-backs in an opening day shellacking.
Saturday, April 4, 2009
PICKing on State
I like Tom Izzo a lot and would probably vote for him if he ran for President (I'd definitely vote for him if he ran for Governor), but I can't stand State fans. See your average State fan is the same as your die hard State fan. There is no difference because all State fans are alike. They are overwhelmingly subjective, bee sting whiny, and ridiculously uninformed when it comes to common sports knowledge outside of East Lansing.
Nine consecutive State fans called into one of the local talk radio programs here in Grand Rapids to predict how the Spartans would fare this weekend. All nine predicted that State would walk all over UConn and trounce North Carolina Monday night. And the thing about it was, there was no doubt in their minds that this is going to happen. One fan even had the audacity to complain about the spread of the game, saying "I can't believe that State isn't favored in this game. I just don't get it."
Nor do I get you, State fan... nor do I get you.
But I do like their coach, and their defense, and for them to cover against Uconn.
$$$$ State + 4 1/2 vs. Uconn
Hasheem Thebeet will be a factor in this game whether you State fans want to admit it or not. His presence alone will play much more into this game than the 50,000 + State fans who will be packing Ford field with there green and white seat cushions and matching fanny packs. But State's defense and coaching, like it always does, will keep them in the game and could possibly catapult them into the title game where they will get waxed by North Carolina... AGAIN. Play Izzo's team in a tight one.
NBA...
$$$$ Bucks -7 vs. Grizzlies
The Bucks are a good team at home (or at New Jersey) and they're playing a Grizzlies club who's good nowhere. The Bucks have picked up there play of late and should be able to produce a butt kicking against the Grizz. Take the Bucks to walk all over Memphis.
Nine consecutive State fans called into one of the local talk radio programs here in Grand Rapids to predict how the Spartans would fare this weekend. All nine predicted that State would walk all over UConn and trounce North Carolina Monday night. And the thing about it was, there was no doubt in their minds that this is going to happen. One fan even had the audacity to complain about the spread of the game, saying "I can't believe that State isn't favored in this game. I just don't get it."
Nor do I get you, State fan... nor do I get you.
But I do like their coach, and their defense, and for them to cover against Uconn.
$$$$ State + 4 1/2 vs. Uconn
Hasheem Thebeet will be a factor in this game whether you State fans want to admit it or not. His presence alone will play much more into this game than the 50,000 + State fans who will be packing Ford field with there green and white seat cushions and matching fanny packs. But State's defense and coaching, like it always does, will keep them in the game and could possibly catapult them into the title game where they will get waxed by North Carolina... AGAIN. Play Izzo's team in a tight one.
NBA...
$$$$ Bucks -7 vs. Grizzlies
The Bucks are a good team at home (or at New Jersey) and they're playing a Grizzlies club who's good nowhere. The Bucks have picked up there play of late and should be able to produce a butt kicking against the Grizz. Take the Bucks to walk all over Memphis.
Friday, April 3, 2009
back to the big leagues
2-1 on $$$$$ picks after Penn State dominates Baylor in the second half. Today it's back to the NBA.
$$$$ Bobcats - 4 1/2 vs. Miami
I've recently learned that while the Bobcats have a losing record, they are the 3rd best team when it comes to covering the spread. They beat the Lakers at home two nights and followed that up with a tough double overtime loss in Boston. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five and they have to keep winning to have a shot at the playoffs. I know how good Dwayne Wade is, but the Bobcats are playing too good for him to be a factor tonight. Take the Bobcats in a double digit victory.
$$$ Spurs - 4 1/2 @ Indiana
You'd think that the Spurs would be dominating teams with 6th man Manu Ginobli available, but they've struggled of late since his return. Tonight they don't need to play well against a bad Pacers team to cover, but they will. Take the Spurs in a route.
$$$ Lakers - 5 1/2 vs Houston
Houston is a solid ball club, but they can't match up with the Lakers, especially in L.A. They are 8-1 SU in their last 9 at home and will make it 9-1 after tonight's game. After a long road trip they finally get to relax on their home floor. Look for the Lakers to pull away late.
$$$$ Bobcats - 4 1/2 vs. Miami
I've recently learned that while the Bobcats have a losing record, they are the 3rd best team when it comes to covering the spread. They beat the Lakers at home two nights and followed that up with a tough double overtime loss in Boston. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five and they have to keep winning to have a shot at the playoffs. I know how good Dwayne Wade is, but the Bobcats are playing too good for him to be a factor tonight. Take the Bobcats in a double digit victory.
$$$ Spurs - 4 1/2 @ Indiana
You'd think that the Spurs would be dominating teams with 6th man Manu Ginobli available, but they've struggled of late since his return. Tonight they don't need to play well against a bad Pacers team to cover, but they will. Take the Spurs in a route.
$$$ Lakers - 5 1/2 vs Houston
Houston is a solid ball club, but they can't match up with the Lakers, especially in L.A. They are 8-1 SU in their last 9 at home and will make it 9-1 after tonight's game. After a long road trip they finally get to relax on their home floor. Look for the Lakers to pull away late.
Thursday, April 2, 2009
Five Star Release
$$$$$ Penn State + 3 1/2 vs. Baylor
Notre Dame is very similar to Baylor in that they both shoot the three well and don't play any defense. Penn State dominated Notre Dame yesterday with DEFENSE and should be able to get by a Baylor team who hasn't met a good defensive team in over a month. Play Penn State to win outright.
Notre Dame is very similar to Baylor in that they both shoot the three well and don't play any defense. Penn State dominated Notre Dame yesterday with DEFENSE and should be able to get by a Baylor team who hasn't met a good defensive team in over a month. Play Penn State to win outright.
Wednesday, April 1, 2009
Quick Picks
$$$$ Bobcats + 8 1/2 @ Celtics
The Bobcats are in the playoff hunt and the Celtics are once again without Garnett. This should be a close one.
$$$ Pistons +1 @ New Jersey
The Pistons are finally healthy and did anyone see the Nets play the Bucks two nights ago?
The Bobcats are in the playoff hunt and the Celtics are once again without Garnett. This should be a close one.
$$$ Pistons +1 @ New Jersey
The Pistons are finally healthy and did anyone see the Nets play the Bucks two nights ago?
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