Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Home Court Advantages

34-27 and up 2 more units of profit after going 2-1 yesterday. On a side note, I'm not betting on teams from Michigan anymore. I can't seem to figure them out.

$$$$ Cincinnati +5 vs. West Virginia

I'm shocked Cincinnati is getting points here. The Bearcats have to win this game to keep their tourny hopes alive while West Virginia appears to be in, barring a total meltdown. I think WV is a solid ball club, but it's tough to win big on the road in the Big East against a team who's playing for their season. Look for the Bearcats to cover and win a close one.

$$$$ UCLA -6 1/2 @ Stanford

UCLA is coming off an embarassing loss at home against Washington State and will be looking to put a beatdown on a Stanford Cardinal team who they already beat by 30 earlier in the year. UCLA's tourny seed will be based on how they play down the stretch and if they want to impress the comittee they can't teams like Stanford keep games close.

$$$ UAB + 4 1/2 vs. Memphis

I love betting on home dogs late in the year because these are when the biggest games are played and home court is at its highest worth. Tonight my 7th sense is feeling an upset, and when my 7th sense senses upset I don't even need my 6th sense (sense of covering). UAB would love to strengthen their tourny resume with a win against a Memphis team beat them earlier in the year by 13. UTEP played Memphis tough at home last week but couldn't seal the deal. Look for the Blazers to finish strong and humble the Tigers in court storming fashion.

$$$ Arizona +2 @ Washington State

Washington State is coming off a shocking win against UCLA but I don't think they can keep the momentum going. They are a .500 ball club and they've had trouble winning back to back games all year. They play up and down to their competition and Arizona needs this game too badly to let the Cougars get away with another big win. This game won't be easy, but I have to think Arizona can pull this one out.

Rolling Rolling Rolling...

I hope somebody had money on Iowa State because their cover yesterday was easy and gentle on the blood pressure. Thanks to the Cyclones we earned 5 more units of profit and improved our record to 32-26. We've won three of the last four days, going 7-3 and we're up a red hot 16 units in those games.

Today we keep it rolling with...

$$$$ Michigan State - 15 1/2 vs. Iowa

I don't like huge double digit spreads like this often, but I have faith in Tom Izzo and the Spartans. MSU is coming off an impressive win against Wisconsin and with that win people are talking about them as a possible 1 seed in the tourny. This means that if they want that 1 seed not only can they not slip up, they have to look dominant in games against garbage teams like Iowa. And Iowa is garbage. Look for State to take out the trash early in this one as they dump the Hawkeyes by 30.

$$$ South Carolina in a pick em vs. Kentucky

Speaking of garbage, welcome to the SEC. Aside from LSU, there isn't a team in this conference that can win on the road. Look for the Gamecocks to continue this trend and win a close one.

$$$ Dallas Mavericks - 7 1/2 vs. Milwaukee

Let's keep it simple... Dallas is good at home. Milwaukee isn't good, especially on the road.