We took a day off yesterday after going 1-3 on Thursday. As much as I love betting, sometimes taking a breather after a couple of bad beats (UCLA -5 1/2 and winning by 5 or UAB +4 and covering the entire game until the last two minutes) is a good thing. More than day off is ridiculous so today we're back to it.
$$$$ Villanova - 6 1/2 vs. Georgetown
I think Villanova is a dark horse final four team this year. They are a lot like Pitt in that they are tough at every position. They aren't as dominant as Pitt, but they will certainly make some noise in March... which means they shouldn't have a problem man handling a disappointing Georgetown squad. Maybe the Hoyas could cover this spread at home, but no way do they cover on the road. Take Nova in a double digit ball stomping.
$$$$ Miami Heat - 5 1/2 vs. New York
I think you all know my betting habit with the Knicks. They don't like playing outside of their home state or home stadium. Last night they wasted an abundance of energy erasing a 20 point deficit at home vs. the Sixers in a losing effort. You think they'll be up for a trip to Miami today? Probably not. Take the Heat in a route.
$$$ UConn - 11 1/2 vs. Notre Dame
No doubt this is a big game for ND, but it doesn't matter. They've had plenty of "big games" this year and rarely have they impressed. This game will be good practice in ND's preparation for the NIT and losing by less than 15 would be a good moral victory for them, but it's not going to happen. Uconn wins in a blowout.
$$ Colorado + 13 @ Baylor
Baylor finally gets to play a team they can beat, but the odds makers are still giving them too much credit. Colorado is amazing at covering the spread and are a must bet every game. It's rare when they win but, oddly enough, even rarer when they don't cover.
* WARNING TRAPLINE * LSU +4 vs. Kentucky
LSU has proven to be the only consistent and borderline quality team in the SEC while Kentucky has proven to be the complete opposite. The Wildcats are capable of losing to anyone by any amount, anywhere, and have very few quality wins on their resume. LSU should route em right? I'd like to think so, but I'm smelling something foul with this line. It looks awfully good, too good, and I'm staying away from it. LSU is a lock for the tourny and Kentucky has to win this game to earn "bubble status." LSU is hands down the better team but I'd advise you to hold off on the Tigers tonight.
Saturday, February 28, 2009
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