Saturday, January 31, 2009

Insider Information

To anyone who's betting on the " Which Super Bowl commercial will have a higher rating on USA Today's annual Ad Meter?" line, I have some advice for you. Bet Coca Cola. I was watching a Superbowl commercial special on CBS and they had a top 100 countdown of the greatest commercials of all time. #1 was Coke's Mean Joe Green bit.

At the end of the show CBS went behind the scenes of Coca Cola remaking this legendary commercials with Troy Palamalu playing Mean Joe Green's part. This commercial will be airing tomorrow night during the Super Bowl.

Coke is getting 21-4 odds, and they're bringing back the greatest commercial in Super Bowl history. Budweiser doesn't have the frogs to pull off best commercial, not this year baby!

Super Bowl Picks

In all honesty I'm not rally sure if I'll be betting on the Super Bowl. I think the Steelers win, and if I had to bet I'd say they cover, but the bulk of my money is going on the OVER for how long it takes Jennifer Hudson to sing the National Anthem.

The line is set at 2 minutes 1 second. I watched a video of Hudson performing the Anthem at the Democratic National Convention and she appears to sing for an approximate 2:02. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8cJNnS7cQvg

Hudson is known for belting out notes whenever she's on stage, and after a good meal. She often sings with an outstretched "Hallelujah" arm, which means she's singing with emotion. And her emotions have been soaring since losing her aunt and nephew just months ago.

Don't be nervous if she's only at 1:45 with the last stanza left. The long and drawn out finish is where Hudson makes her money, and it's where were going to make ours. Take Hudson and the OVER as she comes close to the 2:10.

Here's another good line I came across. "How many times will Madden and Michaels refer to Ben Roethlisberger as Big Ben?" Over/Under is 5.

The odds makers really messed this one up. I think Madden alone is capable of covering that spread in one sentence. There's always a chance of Roethlisberger making a big play and Madden saying something like, "You see that's Big Ben being Big Ben. He always makes big plays, that's why they call him Big Ben." There's three right there. Michaels is good for one, maybe two, but count on Madden to cover this bet with ease.

This line also made me wonder if any gamblers have approached Madden or Michaels about reference Big Ben. If Michaels accidentally calls Warner, "Big Ben," on the last drive of the game, or Madden simply says, "Big Ben," before time expires, something is not right. Better yet, if Madden doesn't say "Big Ben" one time then he's obviously been paid off.

Here's a few more lines worth taking a look at.

Super Bowl XLIII - How many food items will John Madden mention during the game? Over/Under is 1 1/2. Here's a better question to ask your friends... Would you rather be John Madden's underwear or Warren Sapp's jockstrap?

Super Bowl XLIII - Who will be tackled by his hair first in the game? Troy Polamalu or Fitzgerald? Fitzgerald is -400 on the money line, probably not a good bet.

Super Bowl XLIII - What Color will Bill Bidwill’s bow tie be? Red is -700. Any other color is +425. If this guy's not wearing red he's making some major bank on some offshore sportsbook.

Super Bowl XLIII - Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game thank first?
This one depends on the person. If you're banking on Warner to get the MVP, then my money is 2 to 1 on God.

2-1 yesterday

Well I swung and missed badly on the Kings/Bulls game, but got my money back on a meaningless last second dunk by the Cav's who were already up 15 and giving 15 1/2. That last second dunk almost made up for the Polamalu interception in the Ravens/Steelers game. Cclantz and I had cabbage on the Ravens +6 which looked like a lock until Polamalu tribal danced 25 yards through a sea of fluttering Ravens. Honestly, how do you not tackle that guy? Grab his perm, trip him, do something!

Cclantz nailed his only bet with the Lakers covering easy at Minnesota. We are a combined 2-1 on the season. For the youngsters reading, that brings me to 1-1 on the season, Cclantz is 1-0.

$$$$ Today I like Purdue - 11 1/2 at home against my Michigan Wolverines. I'm arguably one of the biggest Michigan fans in the state which makes me very aware that they CAN'T PLAY ON THE ROAD. Their most recent loss was to an average Ohio State team by 18. Their two previous away games they lost by 15 at Penn State and 18 at Illinois. Today they play Purdue, who's not only streaking right now, but are hands down better than all three of those teams.

$$$$ I also like teasing down the points in the Ohio State/Indiana game. Teasers can be a tease, but if you play them right they can be profitable. Indiana's lost 5 straight, and well, they are down right bad. But Tom Creen has kept them competitive, just not enough to get many W's. The current line is OSU -7. Teasing the Buckeyes to -3 or below should get the job done.


Cclantz is currently in bed playing online poker, so I will relay his pick of the day for him.

$$$$
He likes Oklahoma -9 1/2 at Iowa State. Other than Texas no one in the Big 12 is even in the same league as Oklahoma. Iowa State will keep the game close in the first half before the Griffin brothers and Johnson completely take over the game and roll to an easy double digit victory.