Sunday, January 10, 2010

Oh...

1-4 isn't bad right? Right?

Unacceptable. And if I had more than a dike from Chicago following my advice, I might actually feel bad. Maybe I'll start betting hockey, better yet, how about entertainment props? 5/8 on "Up in the Air" to win Best Picture? Lock City. Hey i hit Jen Hudson's National Anthem Over/Under during the Super Bowl last year, maybe I need to focus on more off-field wagers.

Naw. I know I can bet, I know what I'm doing. Tables will turn, and they will turn today, in Arizona.

Line: Green Bay -2 @ Arizona.
OVER/UNDER: 47

This line opened at Green Bay +3 at the beginning of the week, then went down a point a day as Boldin looked more and more unlikely to play. I tried going against the grain yesterday, thinking there wasn't going to be two blowouts identical to the previous weeks games and that maybe the Bengals and Eagles would make at least ONE ADJUSTMENT!!!! But it didn't happen. Those games aside, I've liked Green Bay all week, even giving two on the road. Boldin isn't expected to play, Warner is talking about retiring, the Cardinals, well, they know the season's done. Outside of Dallas, Green Bay has been the most impressive team down the stretch. They pass, they run, and they play great defense. Arizona can pass, that's it, and they're without their second best WR. Green Bay wins, you win, I win.

In the early game I'll be rooting for Ray Rice, that's it. His OVER/UNDER for catches is 4 1/2 and 35 receiving yards. I like both of those to go over the number. New England's bend-don't-break defense will allow short dump offs to Rice all day. Baltimore is going to try and slow the game down, meaning a heavy dose of Ray Rice.

Oh and when the future props are readjusted after today's games, I like the Chargers as an investment to win the AFC.