Finally, after a four day drought we're back in the green as we went 3-1 yesterday and earned 6 units of profit. Also, Abby hit his/her pick on the nose as the Blackhawks won by 2 just as he/she predicted.
Today I like a couple of hardwood matchups and Abby will try and continue his/her hot streak on the ice.
$$$$ Wisconsin @ Michigan State UNDER 126 total points.
Neither of these teams -- like most of the Big Ten -- play stellar offense but each defense is well above average. This game will not reach 120. Wisconsin is one of the hottest teams in the country right now and they'll keep this game close because of their defense. That is why I also like...
$$$ Wisconsin +8 1/2 @ Michigan State
Big D defense defense, big D.
$$ Michigan - 1 1/2 @ Iowa
I hate betting on Michigan, but I have to think they can win this game. All Iowa has to play for is spoiler while Michigan HAS to have this game so they can keep delaying the inevitable of missing the field of 64. Play the Wolverines to win in similar fashion as they did last week at Northwestern.
$$$$$ Abby's Pick $$$$$
Avalanche + 125 @ Carolina
"I was going to lay off hockey on Sunday, but saw I could get 1.5x for my money betting on the Avs at Carolina. Carolina has the better record and they are at home, but Colorado beat a very good Capitals team at Washington Friday night, 4-1, and they’ve won 3 in a row—two of those on the road. This is the 2nd road trip game on a 6 game road trip, and assuming Granato has done his job preparing for the trip, they aren’t out of gas yet. Carolina has a good team, but is 1-2 in it’s last 3 at home and the losses were 5-1. So maybe this is a coin flip, but anytime you can bet $20 on a coin flip to win $30, you take it. "
Sunday, February 22, 2009
Saturday, February 21, 2009
Weekend Warriors
Amazingly we're still up, but our fourth consecutive day of losing dropped our record to 25-23 overall. Let's try to end this week on a high note with another barrage of Saturday hardball picks.
Also I'll be posting a special "Message Board pick" from commenter Abby Normal. This guy not only predicted I'd go 1-2 yesterday, he liked the Wings -1.5 and they won 5-2. Betting and hitting on a hockey game is very impressive and I think he deserves partial reigns to Trapline for a day. Plus I'm 4-10 over my last four days, so he really has no pressure.
And anyone else who wants to comment or make a prediction I happily encourage it. I'd like to hear what other people have to say. Outside perspective is great in the midst of a losing streak.
$$$$ Butler +4 1/2 @Davidson
This game offers two of the most overrated mid major teams in the country. Davidson just lost to the Citadel and Butler's been getting whacked around by teams in the Horizon. But when it comes down to it Butler is the better team here, especially with a hobbled Steph Curry. Look for Butler to cover and win by 10.
$$$$ Cincinnati +5 1/2 vs Louisville
Two things shant be underestimated in this game... 1. Cincinatti. 2. Home court advantage in college basketball. Parlay that with Louisville's road struggles and this should be an easy cover for the Bearcats.
$$$ Kansas - 12 vs. Nebraska
Nebraska can't play on the road and Kansas takes care of business on their home floor better than a bedless lady of the night. Play the Jayhawks to "rock chalk" the Cornhuskers.
$$$ Texas A&M -1 1/2 @ Texas Tech
I must be missing something here because this line doesn't make sense. Pat Knight is doing his dad proud by running a train wreck of a team in Texas Tech. A&M is easily the better team here and they have to win to keep their tourny hopes alive. Play the Aggies in a route.
$$$$$ ABBY'S Pick $$$$$
Today, bet the Black Hawks getting 1.5 at Dallas. Richards broke his wrist on Monday night and the odds-makers seemed to have missed that news. Giving Chicago 1.5 even if Richards was playing would be 2.5 too many. Look for Chicago to win by 2. GO BLACKHAWKS
Also I'll be posting a special "Message Board pick" from commenter Abby Normal. This guy not only predicted I'd go 1-2 yesterday, he liked the Wings -1.5 and they won 5-2. Betting and hitting on a hockey game is very impressive and I think he deserves partial reigns to Trapline for a day. Plus I'm 4-10 over my last four days, so he really has no pressure.
And anyone else who wants to comment or make a prediction I happily encourage it. I'd like to hear what other people have to say. Outside perspective is great in the midst of a losing streak.
$$$$ Butler +4 1/2 @Davidson
This game offers two of the most overrated mid major teams in the country. Davidson just lost to the Citadel and Butler's been getting whacked around by teams in the Horizon. But when it comes down to it Butler is the better team here, especially with a hobbled Steph Curry. Look for Butler to cover and win by 10.
$$$$ Cincinnati +5 1/2 vs Louisville
Two things shant be underestimated in this game... 1. Cincinatti. 2. Home court advantage in college basketball. Parlay that with Louisville's road struggles and this should be an easy cover for the Bearcats.
$$$ Kansas - 12 vs. Nebraska
Nebraska can't play on the road and Kansas takes care of business on their home floor better than a bedless lady of the night. Play the Jayhawks to "rock chalk" the Cornhuskers.
$$$ Texas A&M -1 1/2 @ Texas Tech
I must be missing something here because this line doesn't make sense. Pat Knight is doing his dad proud by running a train wreck of a team in Texas Tech. A&M is easily the better team here and they have to win to keep their tourny hopes alive. Play the Aggies in a route.
$$$$$ ABBY'S Pick $$$$$
Today, bet the Black Hawks getting 1.5 at Dallas. Richards broke his wrist on Monday night and the odds-makers seemed to have missed that news. Giving Chicago 1.5 even if Richards was playing would be 2.5 too many. Look for Chicago to win by 2. GO BLACKHAWKS
Friday, February 20, 2009
WOW
Some bad lucky yesterday after Garnett gets injured just before halftime and doesn't come back. Not to mention the Celtics were covering the entire game until the last 4 minutes. Duke was also teetering the cover line most of the second half but couldn't find a way to put away a pesky (atrocious) St. Johns club.
After going 1-2 yesterday we're 24-21 overall. We're due for a couple of bounces our way...
$$$$ Knicks - 3 vs. Raptors
Knicks like playing basketball only in New York, and the Raptors are without their best player in Chris Bosh. The Knicks just beat the Spurs by 5 at home, you'd think they'd cover this game too.
$$$ Grizzlies -6 vs. Kings
Both of these teams are bad, but the Grizzlies are better here because of their home floor. The only people watching this game are the one's who have money on it... that's why gambling is great, it can make poop intriguing.
$$$ Lakers - 8 1/2 vs. Hornets
The Hornets are coming off a big win against the Magic, but don't look for them to suddenly turn their season around. The fact is the Hornets are still injured and Chris Paul isn't a good enough scorer to carry his team to a win against a team like the Lakers. Teasing this game down to 5 would be a great bet, but I still like the Lakers at 8 1/2.
After going 1-2 yesterday we're 24-21 overall. We're due for a couple of bounces our way...
$$$$ Knicks - 3 vs. Raptors
Knicks like playing basketball only in New York, and the Raptors are without their best player in Chris Bosh. The Knicks just beat the Spurs by 5 at home, you'd think they'd cover this game too.
$$$ Grizzlies -6 vs. Kings
Both of these teams are bad, but the Grizzlies are better here because of their home floor. The only people watching this game are the one's who have money on it... that's why gambling is great, it can make poop intriguing.
$$$ Lakers - 8 1/2 vs. Hornets
The Hornets are coming off a big win against the Magic, but don't look for them to suddenly turn their season around. The fact is the Hornets are still injured and Chris Paul isn't a good enough scorer to carry his team to a win against a team like the Lakers. Teasing this game down to 5 would be a great bet, but I still like the Lakers at 8 1/2.
Thursday, February 19, 2009
losing streak
Ohio State's dismal second half performance against Northwestern's chess club cost us four units of profit while solitifying our first back to back losing days. Today we get some of it back with a couple of NBA picks.
$$$ Celtics -2 @ Utah
When the Celt's are completely healthy and a near pick em' against any team that doesn't have a Kobe, then they are a good bet. The Jazz are good at home, and home only, but they'll have to play one of their better games to have a shot against the world champs.
$$$ Spurs +1 @ Detroit
The Pistons stink! Okay? I said it. I think I saw Michael Curry playing with Legos during a timeout against the Bucks last night. He's the worst coach in the NBA, and tonight he's going against one of the best. The Spurs, even without Ginobli, are better than the Pistons right now. Not to mention they're coming off a two game losing streak, and they NEVER lose three in a row.
$$$ Duke -13 @ St. Johns
The reeling Dukies need more than a win to help cure their recent losing woes, they need a blowout, a drop kicking, a punching bag to make them feel like a top 5 team again. St. Johns is the perfect therapy. Take Duke in a blowout.
$$$ Celtics -2 @ Utah
When the Celt's are completely healthy and a near pick em' against any team that doesn't have a Kobe, then they are a good bet. The Jazz are good at home, and home only, but they'll have to play one of their better games to have a shot against the world champs.
$$$ Spurs +1 @ Detroit
The Pistons stink! Okay? I said it. I think I saw Michael Curry playing with Legos during a timeout against the Bucks last night. He's the worst coach in the NBA, and tonight he's going against one of the best. The Spurs, even without Ginobli, are better than the Pistons right now. Not to mention they're coming off a two game losing streak, and they NEVER lose three in a row.
$$$ Duke -13 @ St. Johns
The reeling Dukies need more than a win to help cure their recent losing woes, they need a blowout, a drop kicking, a punching bag to make them feel like a top 5 team again. St. Johns is the perfect therapy. Take Duke in a blowout.
Wednesday, February 18, 2009
Must Win Wednesday
Eh, not a good day yesterday. 1-3 is never good. But today I'm confident we'll improve our 22-16 record and make up for yesterday's losses with a few solid college basketball picks.
$$$$ Ohio State + 1 1/2 @ Northwestern
Northwestern knows their chance of making it to the big dance was destroyed last week after losing to Michigan. This game means nothing to them. Ohio State however, knows that this game could hurt, maybe end their tourny bid and is a MUST WIN. Not to mention OSU is hands down the better team here and I'm shocked they are getting points.
$$$ Virginia Tech +1 @ Virginia
Once again I'm not sure what's going on with this line. Apparently Virginia's one and only good win last week against Clemson has the odds makers in a trance that is blinding them from seeing the Cav's 8-13 record. Regardless of what happens tonight Virginia has no shot to make the NIT even, where Tech on the other hand needs this game to keep their tourny hopes alive. Take VT in a close one.
$$$ Colorado +12 1/2 @ Nebraska
I said this last week and they stood strong against Texas, but all Colorado does is cover. They are 0-5 straight up but 7-1 ATS in their last 8. You never know what you're going to get out of the Cornhuskers, but you always know what to expect out of the Buffaloes... a big fat cover.
$$$ Illinois - 9 1/2 vs. Penn St.
At first glance this line looks pretty inflated for a solid Penn St. squad. But then you have to take into consideration this home court advantage thing that seems to determine the outcome of most games and spreads. Much like Penn St., Illinois dominates at home and struggles on the road. Look for the home team to win in a blowout.
$$$$ Ohio State + 1 1/2 @ Northwestern
Northwestern knows their chance of making it to the big dance was destroyed last week after losing to Michigan. This game means nothing to them. Ohio State however, knows that this game could hurt, maybe end their tourny bid and is a MUST WIN. Not to mention OSU is hands down the better team here and I'm shocked they are getting points.
$$$ Virginia Tech +1 @ Virginia
Once again I'm not sure what's going on with this line. Apparently Virginia's one and only good win last week against Clemson has the odds makers in a trance that is blinding them from seeing the Cav's 8-13 record. Regardless of what happens tonight Virginia has no shot to make the NIT even, where Tech on the other hand needs this game to keep their tourny hopes alive. Take VT in a close one.
$$$ Colorado +12 1/2 @ Nebraska
I said this last week and they stood strong against Texas, but all Colorado does is cover. They are 0-5 straight up but 7-1 ATS in their last 8. You never know what you're going to get out of the Cornhuskers, but you always know what to expect out of the Buffaloes... a big fat cover.
$$$ Illinois - 9 1/2 vs. Penn St.
At first glance this line looks pretty inflated for a solid Penn St. squad. But then you have to take into consideration this home court advantage thing that seems to determine the outcome of most games and spreads. Much like Penn St., Illinois dominates at home and struggles on the road. Look for the home team to win in a blowout.
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
Late Picks
Just a few late games to consider...
$$ Phoenix -7 1/2 vs. the Clippers
$$ Orlando - 8 1/2 vs Charlotte
$$ Spurs - 4 1/2 @ New York
My high school line of the day is...
$$$$$ Kalamazoo Central - 39 1/2 vs. Sturgis (Threaten to drop your bookie if he's not taking bets on this game)
$$ Phoenix -7 1/2 vs. the Clippers
$$ Orlando - 8 1/2 vs Charlotte
$$ Spurs - 4 1/2 @ New York
My high school line of the day is...
$$$$$ Kalamazoo Central - 39 1/2 vs. Sturgis (Threaten to drop your bookie if he's not taking bets on this game)
The Roloff Edge
Pittsburgh covered easier than Kate Hudson's training bra, banking us 4 units of profit while improving are record to 21-13. Today we try to extend our three day winning streak to...
Four.
$$$ Michigan State + 2 1/2 @ Purdue
Michigan State is hands down the best team in the Big Ten. I don't care who they play, or where they play at, if they are GETTING points against an in-conference team they are a must bet. What scares me however, is this... These teams are very similar. They both play excellent defense and are at best average on the offensive side of the ball. From a defensive standpoint the game is a wash, but I'm giving State the edge of being "the tallest midget" on offense. Look for the Roloff Edge1 to get this game done for the Spartans as they win a close one.
1. Roloff, as in Matt Roloff, the star from TLC's hit show "Little People Big World." The Roloff Edge refers to a team or player who has an advantage over weak, sub par competetion. e.g., The smartest retard.
Stay tuned and check back later today for a couple more picks...
Four.
$$$ Michigan State + 2 1/2 @ Purdue
Michigan State is hands down the best team in the Big Ten. I don't care who they play, or where they play at, if they are GETTING points against an in-conference team they are a must bet. What scares me however, is this... These teams are very similar. They both play excellent defense and are at best average on the offensive side of the ball. From a defensive standpoint the game is a wash, but I'm giving State the edge of being "the tallest midget" on offense. Look for the Roloff Edge1 to get this game done for the Spartans as they win a close one.
1. Roloff, as in Matt Roloff, the star from TLC's hit show "Little People Big World." The Roloff Edge refers to a team or player who has an advantage over weak, sub par competetion. e.g., The smartest retard.
Stay tuned and check back later today for a couple more picks...
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