Monday, February 9, 2009

8-7

Well we got back on track a little yesterday after the Lakers won easily in Cleveland and covered our $$$$ bet. Penn State on the other hand never gave up and never gave hope as they trailed by six for what seemed like the entire game until the horn sounded and they lost by nine. 1-1 yesterday makes us 8-7 on the season.

Tonight I'm not a big fan of any games, but I'm still releasing a couple of $ picks for the addicts who can't take a bet off.

$ Pitt - 8 1/2 vs. West Virginia.
Pitt is arguably the best team in the country and they beat WV by 12 in Morgan Town the last time they met. Pitt's better and stronger at nearly every position and it's always nice to play on your home floor, especially in a rivalry game.

$ Charlotte -1 vs. Clippers
I love betting against bad teams. Unfortunately we have two in this matchup, so I'm going with the home team and the team desperate for a win. The Clippers are the perfect team to play when your club is looking to end a losing skid. The Bobcats will win and and become king crap of poop NBA teams.

Sunday, February 8, 2009

Oh and 3

Let's be honest, Pamela Anderson has a better chance of covering her chest with a square of toilet paper than I did covering my picks yesterday. Michigan dominating their side of the spread and losing was the biggest kick in the nuts for me personally, but I'm not going to cry. The bankroll took a hit, as did my record as it's now dropped to 7-6. Today we fight back in the NBA, or at least go broke trying.

$$$$ Lakers + 4 1/2 @ Cleveland. What a game this is going to be. The new Kobe vs. Lebron rivalry will spark some passionate play and Cleveland fans might be in store to witness the Cav's first home loss. Plain and simple, I think the Lakers are a better team. Winning in Boston with a healthy Garnett is the best a team in the NBA can do, and that's what the Lakers accomplished a few days ago. I can assure you this game will not be a blowout. Both teams will be revved to play, but in the end clutch Kobe and Side Show Bob Gasol not only cover, they win.

$$$ Penn St - 2 1/2 vs. Wisconsin. I hate betting against Bo Ryan almost as much as I hate not betting on Penn St. at home giving a few points. Two things to factor in here... Wisconsin has struggled all year to win on the road, and Penn St. has struggled all year to lose at home. Look for this game to stay close throughout until the Nittany Lions ice the game at the stripe and win by 7.

Saturday, February 7, 2009

7-3

Well we lost our first $$$$$ release a couple days ago, but that's not stopping us from releasing our second $$$$$ of the year.

Take Uconn -16 1/2 at home against Michigan. Michigan is losing on average by 15 every time they hit the road in the Big Ten, and Uconn is arguably their toughest game of the season. If Michigan wouldn't have came to play against Penn State in their last game this line probably would have been around 20. Look for Uconn to dominate this game from the opening tip.

In a $$$$ release take Duke at home -14 against a solid Miami squad. Two things to take into consideration here... Duke was just humiliated by Clemson, and Miami's coming off a huge win against Wake Forest. This is a let down game for Miami as they get pounced by a ticked off Dukies team in Cameron Indoor.

$$ Providence +11 at West Virginia. Providence always seems to play teams tough whether they're at home or on the road. West Virginia has struggled of late, dropping three of five, and I expect them to get off the shnide today as they pull away late from the Flyers but don't cover.

Thursday, February 5, 2009

7-2

Sorry there were no picks last night. I had some car trouble on my way home from Grand Rapids and didn't get a chance to make a post.

Just to recap the games from two nights ago, I posted that I liked the Spurs +6 in Denver. A half hour before the game the line jumped to the Spurs +13. I scoured the Internet and all 33 ESPN channels to figure out why the line exploded and couldn't find a thing. It turns out that Papovich, due to a long road trip, decided to NOT PLAY Duncan, Parker, or Ginobli. Even with their scrubs the Spurs managed to cover the +13, but failed to hit the +6. I'm calling this game a wash, and apologize to anyone who banked on the Spurs.

My other game was Florida -8. The Gators were covering with under two minutes to play, but failed to get the job done. This brings my record to 7-2.

Tonight I'm releasing my first $$$$$, with the Washington Huskies as a pick em' at California. The Huskies have one of the best big men in the country in Jon Brockman and are coming off impressive wins against UCLA and at Arizona State. I watched Cal play last week, and their performance in no way reflected their at the time 16-4 record. From watching Cal I learned two things... bet against them when they play good teams, and the Pac 10 is pretty horrendous. Bank on the Huskies to get it done tonight.

Tuesday, February 3, 2009

* WARNING * TRAPLINE *WARNING*

I know Kevin Garnett is out tonight, but I still can't stop salivating over the Celtics @ Sixers line. Usually when the Celts are giving 4 against a mediocre sub .500 basketball team I ice my erection and bet big. But something's fishy about this line, there's something too easy about it. So I'm staying away from it. On paper it looks like the Celtics should win by double digits with or without Garnett. But the Sixers are an underrated team, especially at home, and if there is a time for the Celts nine game win streak to end, it could be tonight on the road without their best player. Does this mean I like the Sixers? No. Celts could win by fifty or lose at the buzzer. It's a pretty looking line, and even though I smell cheddar I'm staying away from it.


But I will be betting on a couple games tonight in and try to improve my 7-1 record. I hope someone out there has won a little cabbage with these FREE picks.

$$$ Spurs + 6 @ Denver
Anytime the Spurs are getting six points to a team in the Western Conference I like em. This is the last and toughest game of their road trip, but they should be able to hang if not beat Billups and the Nuggets.

$$$ In college ball I like the Florida Gator to get some revenge at home against South Carolina. The Gators are giving 7 1/2 and will be looking to spank the Gamecocks after getting beat at the buzzer the last time these two met.

Monday, February 2, 2009

Hardwood Picks

It takes a man with big balls and a fat bank roll to bet on the NBA every night. I'm not that man yet, but I'll continue to press my luck of a couple last second "meaningless dunk covers," until a team back-doors me. And being back-doored is never a good thing unless your name starts with an E. Elton, Ellen.... Eric... E's don't mind being a little faggy.

$$$ Butt jokes aside, I'll start with the streaking Portland squad getting 3 1/2 in New Orleans. I'm not crazy about this line unless you tease Portland and get them at 7 1/2 or 8. New Orleans has lost two straight and will continue to struggle against good teams as long as Tyson Chandler remains hurt. The last time these teams met in New Orleans, the Hornets won by double digits, but Portland was without their All-Star and ridiculously attractive cover boy Brandon Roy. I could see either team winning, but I'd play it safe and tease the Trailblazers.

$$ I also like the Miami Heat at home -10 against the Clippers. I know the Heat have struggled of late, but they always play well at home. And the Clippers, well, they suck.

Upset Special

I love tossing 5 bucks every now and then on the money line of a few games and trying parlaying that into some nice cabbage. Parlays are for suckers, but if you're getting good odds on a feasible bet then why not risk 5 bucks to win a hundred?

Here's my 3 teamer...

Knicks +210 vs. Lakers
Portland +135 @New Orleans
Golden State +175 vs. San Antonio

The Knicks could get drop kicked by the Bynum-less Lakers, but they're always capable of sucker punching teams when they play in the Garden. Portland could and in my opinion should beat the Hornets. And Golden State is now healthy and usually tough at home.

At 19 to 1 it's worth a buck.

Sunday, February 1, 2009

LeBLOWme

Even though I had some money on the Steelers, I found myself rooting for the Cardinals after Dick Lebeau went into the Prevent D with 10 minutes to go. The Steelers deserved to lose this game. They controlled Fitzgerald and pressured Warner into mistakes the entire game until they got into the 4th quarter and decided to pull their safeties back 40 yards so nobody could see them wetting themselves. They also kept the Cardinal defense on their toes in the second half by running Willie Parker off tackle left or off tackle right on EVERY FIRST DOWN. Thanks to the Steelers "playing not to lose" mentality, and the Springsteen/Dennis Rodman halftime show, this turned out to be the best Superbowl I've ever seen.

And you can't feel too bad for the Cardinals. Kurt Warner played like an MVP, Boldin didn't cry, and Brenda Warner has a full head of hair. They played great in the 4th quarter and if it wasn't for that pick 6 to close out the first half who knows what would have happened... I do. The Steelers still win because Lebeau isn't going into the pussy Prevent D in a tight game.

And one more thing... To anyone who actually put money on Jennifer Hudson and the over of 2:01 for the National Anthem, you're welcome moron. Not only did she go over, the unnoficial time (compliments of my uncle Dean) was 2:10 on the nose. To understand the significance of 2:10 click on my last post and never expect that out of me again.

And if you've been keeping track or bet with us yesterday, Cclantz and I went 3-0 with our picks and are now 5-1 overall (not counting Hudson's easy cover).