Sorry, I don't have time for any elaborate analysis today but here's who I like...
$$$$ USC - 13 vs. Oregon
$$$ Penn State +1 vs. Illinois
$$$ South Carolina - 2 1/2 vs. Tennessee
Thursday, March 5, 2009
Wednesday, March 4, 2009
Nickle and Diming it
4-0 in the last two days and today we look to tip-toe to a sweet 6-0 with a couple of smaller picks. I'm not crazy about any games tonight so I'm only releasing two $$ bets. There's no need to get greedy right now...
$$ Kansas - 10 1/2 @ Texas Tech
Kansas has been one of my favorite teams to be on this year. They've been on fire down the stretch and should have no problem crushing a horrific Texas Tech squad. Any loss or slip up could cost the Jayhawks a lock as a 2 seed in the tournament, so don't look for a let down here.
$$ Florida in a pick em @ Miss St.
Florida has, HAS to have this game if they want even a shot to get into the big dance. Mississippi State has lost three straight and four of five, including a double digit loss at home to Auburn. Florida wins a close one.
$$ Kansas - 10 1/2 @ Texas Tech
Kansas has been one of my favorite teams to be on this year. They've been on fire down the stretch and should have no problem crushing a horrific Texas Tech squad. Any loss or slip up could cost the Jayhawks a lock as a 2 seed in the tournament, so don't look for a let down here.
$$ Florida in a pick em @ Miss St.
Florida has, HAS to have this game if they want even a shot to get into the big dance. Mississippi State has lost three straight and four of five, including a double digit loss at home to Auburn. Florida wins a close one.
Tuesday, March 3, 2009
We got ONE
Last night turned out to be easy as Notre Dame played like they have all season in route to a double digit loss against a solid Nova. Let's see if we can't win back to back days and get a bit of a winning streak going.
$$$$ Detroit -3 vs. Denver
Carmelo out means bad news for the Nuggets, Iverson out means good news for the Pistons. Chauncy Billups is back in town but him alone won't be enough to take down Rip and a gelling Detroit squad. Pistons pull away in the 4th and win by 10.
$$$ Ohio State -1 @ Iowa
As of right now Ohio State is in the tourny, but if they lose tonight it could put them on the outside looking in. They NEED this game, just like the NEEDED the Northwestern game they urinated away. Tonight they get up early and hang on in a close one.
$$$ Magic -7 vs. Suns
The Suns will be without their two best players in Nash and Stoudamire and they struggle against most teams on the road. Dwight Howard will humble Shaq in a double digit romping.
$$$$ Detroit -3 vs. Denver
Carmelo out means bad news for the Nuggets, Iverson out means good news for the Pistons. Chauncy Billups is back in town but him alone won't be enough to take down Rip and a gelling Detroit squad. Pistons pull away in the 4th and win by 10.
$$$ Ohio State -1 @ Iowa
As of right now Ohio State is in the tourny, but if they lose tonight it could put them on the outside looking in. They NEED this game, just like the NEEDED the Northwestern game they urinated away. Tonight they get up early and hang on in a close one.
$$$ Magic -7 vs. Suns
The Suns will be without their two best players in Nash and Stoudamire and they struggle against most teams on the road. Dwight Howard will humble Shaq in a double digit romping.
Monday, March 2, 2009
Weekend Suicide
I don't think we need a recap on what happened this weekend. 1-7 is bad, and if you still have a bankroll you're lucky.
Today I like one game, and one game only...
$$$$ Villanove +3 @ Notre Dame
Villanova lost to a poor Georgetown team this weekend and Notre Dame almost beat UConn. Those are the two reasons why Nova is getting points here. I'm just going to pretend those games never happened. Nova is a lot better than Notre Dame and they should win outright tonight.
Today I like one game, and one game only...
$$$$ Villanove +3 @ Notre Dame
Villanova lost to a poor Georgetown team this weekend and Notre Dame almost beat UConn. Those are the two reasons why Nova is getting points here. I'm just going to pretend those games never happened. Nova is a lot better than Notre Dame and they should win outright tonight.
Saturday, February 28, 2009
Back in Action
We took a day off yesterday after going 1-3 on Thursday. As much as I love betting, sometimes taking a breather after a couple of bad beats (UCLA -5 1/2 and winning by 5 or UAB +4 and covering the entire game until the last two minutes) is a good thing. More than day off is ridiculous so today we're back to it.
$$$$ Villanova - 6 1/2 vs. Georgetown
I think Villanova is a dark horse final four team this year. They are a lot like Pitt in that they are tough at every position. They aren't as dominant as Pitt, but they will certainly make some noise in March... which means they shouldn't have a problem man handling a disappointing Georgetown squad. Maybe the Hoyas could cover this spread at home, but no way do they cover on the road. Take Nova in a double digit ball stomping.
$$$$ Miami Heat - 5 1/2 vs. New York
I think you all know my betting habit with the Knicks. They don't like playing outside of their home state or home stadium. Last night they wasted an abundance of energy erasing a 20 point deficit at home vs. the Sixers in a losing effort. You think they'll be up for a trip to Miami today? Probably not. Take the Heat in a route.
$$$ UConn - 11 1/2 vs. Notre Dame
No doubt this is a big game for ND, but it doesn't matter. They've had plenty of "big games" this year and rarely have they impressed. This game will be good practice in ND's preparation for the NIT and losing by less than 15 would be a good moral victory for them, but it's not going to happen. Uconn wins in a blowout.
$$ Colorado + 13 @ Baylor
Baylor finally gets to play a team they can beat, but the odds makers are still giving them too much credit. Colorado is amazing at covering the spread and are a must bet every game. It's rare when they win but, oddly enough, even rarer when they don't cover.
* WARNING TRAPLINE * LSU +4 vs. Kentucky
LSU has proven to be the only consistent and borderline quality team in the SEC while Kentucky has proven to be the complete opposite. The Wildcats are capable of losing to anyone by any amount, anywhere, and have very few quality wins on their resume. LSU should route em right? I'd like to think so, but I'm smelling something foul with this line. It looks awfully good, too good, and I'm staying away from it. LSU is a lock for the tourny and Kentucky has to win this game to earn "bubble status." LSU is hands down the better team but I'd advise you to hold off on the Tigers tonight.
$$$$ Villanova - 6 1/2 vs. Georgetown
I think Villanova is a dark horse final four team this year. They are a lot like Pitt in that they are tough at every position. They aren't as dominant as Pitt, but they will certainly make some noise in March... which means they shouldn't have a problem man handling a disappointing Georgetown squad. Maybe the Hoyas could cover this spread at home, but no way do they cover on the road. Take Nova in a double digit ball stomping.
$$$$ Miami Heat - 5 1/2 vs. New York
I think you all know my betting habit with the Knicks. They don't like playing outside of their home state or home stadium. Last night they wasted an abundance of energy erasing a 20 point deficit at home vs. the Sixers in a losing effort. You think they'll be up for a trip to Miami today? Probably not. Take the Heat in a route.
$$$ UConn - 11 1/2 vs. Notre Dame
No doubt this is a big game for ND, but it doesn't matter. They've had plenty of "big games" this year and rarely have they impressed. This game will be good practice in ND's preparation for the NIT and losing by less than 15 would be a good moral victory for them, but it's not going to happen. Uconn wins in a blowout.
$$ Colorado + 13 @ Baylor
Baylor finally gets to play a team they can beat, but the odds makers are still giving them too much credit. Colorado is amazing at covering the spread and are a must bet every game. It's rare when they win but, oddly enough, even rarer when they don't cover.
* WARNING TRAPLINE * LSU +4 vs. Kentucky
LSU has proven to be the only consistent and borderline quality team in the SEC while Kentucky has proven to be the complete opposite. The Wildcats are capable of losing to anyone by any amount, anywhere, and have very few quality wins on their resume. LSU should route em right? I'd like to think so, but I'm smelling something foul with this line. It looks awfully good, too good, and I'm staying away from it. LSU is a lock for the tourny and Kentucky has to win this game to earn "bubble status." LSU is hands down the better team but I'd advise you to hold off on the Tigers tonight.
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Home Court Advantages
34-27 and up 2 more units of profit after going 2-1 yesterday. On a side note, I'm not betting on teams from Michigan anymore. I can't seem to figure them out.
$$$$ Cincinnati +5 vs. West Virginia
I'm shocked Cincinnati is getting points here. The Bearcats have to win this game to keep their tourny hopes alive while West Virginia appears to be in, barring a total meltdown. I think WV is a solid ball club, but it's tough to win big on the road in the Big East against a team who's playing for their season. Look for the Bearcats to cover and win a close one.
$$$$ UCLA -6 1/2 @ Stanford
UCLA is coming off an embarassing loss at home against Washington State and will be looking to put a beatdown on a Stanford Cardinal team who they already beat by 30 earlier in the year. UCLA's tourny seed will be based on how they play down the stretch and if they want to impress the comittee they can't teams like Stanford keep games close.
$$$ UAB + 4 1/2 vs. Memphis
I love betting on home dogs late in the year because these are when the biggest games are played and home court is at its highest worth. Tonight my 7th sense is feeling an upset, and when my 7th sense senses upset I don't even need my 6th sense (sense of covering). UAB would love to strengthen their tourny resume with a win against a Memphis team beat them earlier in the year by 13. UTEP played Memphis tough at home last week but couldn't seal the deal. Look for the Blazers to finish strong and humble the Tigers in court storming fashion.
$$$ Arizona +2 @ Washington State
Washington State is coming off a shocking win against UCLA but I don't think they can keep the momentum going. They are a .500 ball club and they've had trouble winning back to back games all year. They play up and down to their competition and Arizona needs this game too badly to let the Cougars get away with another big win. This game won't be easy, but I have to think Arizona can pull this one out.
$$$$ Cincinnati +5 vs. West Virginia
I'm shocked Cincinnati is getting points here. The Bearcats have to win this game to keep their tourny hopes alive while West Virginia appears to be in, barring a total meltdown. I think WV is a solid ball club, but it's tough to win big on the road in the Big East against a team who's playing for their season. Look for the Bearcats to cover and win a close one.
$$$$ UCLA -6 1/2 @ Stanford
UCLA is coming off an embarassing loss at home against Washington State and will be looking to put a beatdown on a Stanford Cardinal team who they already beat by 30 earlier in the year. UCLA's tourny seed will be based on how they play down the stretch and if they want to impress the comittee they can't teams like Stanford keep games close.
$$$ UAB + 4 1/2 vs. Memphis
I love betting on home dogs late in the year because these are when the biggest games are played and home court is at its highest worth. Tonight my 7th sense is feeling an upset, and when my 7th sense senses upset I don't even need my 6th sense (sense of covering). UAB would love to strengthen their tourny resume with a win against a Memphis team beat them earlier in the year by 13. UTEP played Memphis tough at home last week but couldn't seal the deal. Look for the Blazers to finish strong and humble the Tigers in court storming fashion.
$$$ Arizona +2 @ Washington State
Washington State is coming off a shocking win against UCLA but I don't think they can keep the momentum going. They are a .500 ball club and they've had trouble winning back to back games all year. They play up and down to their competition and Arizona needs this game too badly to let the Cougars get away with another big win. This game won't be easy, but I have to think Arizona can pull this one out.
Rolling Rolling Rolling...
I hope somebody had money on Iowa State because their cover yesterday was easy and gentle on the blood pressure. Thanks to the Cyclones we earned 5 more units of profit and improved our record to 32-26. We've won three of the last four days, going 7-3 and we're up a red hot 16 units in those games.
Today we keep it rolling with...
$$$$ Michigan State - 15 1/2 vs. Iowa
I don't like huge double digit spreads like this often, but I have faith in Tom Izzo and the Spartans. MSU is coming off an impressive win against Wisconsin and with that win people are talking about them as a possible 1 seed in the tourny. This means that if they want that 1 seed not only can they not slip up, they have to look dominant in games against garbage teams like Iowa. And Iowa is garbage. Look for State to take out the trash early in this one as they dump the Hawkeyes by 30.
$$$ South Carolina in a pick em vs. Kentucky
Speaking of garbage, welcome to the SEC. Aside from LSU, there isn't a team in this conference that can win on the road. Look for the Gamecocks to continue this trend and win a close one.
$$$ Dallas Mavericks - 7 1/2 vs. Milwaukee
Let's keep it simple... Dallas is good at home. Milwaukee isn't good, especially on the road.
Today we keep it rolling with...
$$$$ Michigan State - 15 1/2 vs. Iowa
I don't like huge double digit spreads like this often, but I have faith in Tom Izzo and the Spartans. MSU is coming off an impressive win against Wisconsin and with that win people are talking about them as a possible 1 seed in the tourny. This means that if they want that 1 seed not only can they not slip up, they have to look dominant in games against garbage teams like Iowa. And Iowa is garbage. Look for State to take out the trash early in this one as they dump the Hawkeyes by 30.
$$$ South Carolina in a pick em vs. Kentucky
Speaking of garbage, welcome to the SEC. Aside from LSU, there isn't a team in this conference that can win on the road. Look for the Gamecocks to continue this trend and win a close one.
$$$ Dallas Mavericks - 7 1/2 vs. Milwaukee
Let's keep it simple... Dallas is good at home. Milwaukee isn't good, especially on the road.
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