Ughh... disgusting picks the last two days. Let's see if we can chalk up a couple of wins today.
$$$$ UConn - 5 1/2 vs Mizz
The only thing that should hold the Huskies back from covering this spread is the fact that I have money on them. Missouri just isn't that good and they are finally going to play a team that won't give up 100 points. Take Uconn in a route.
$$$ Pitt -2 vs Nova
I think the world has their money on Nova today but I'm going to stick with the Panthers. Nova doesn't play well when they are at a size disadvantage down low, and today the biggest and most physical player on the court will be wearing a Pitt uniform in DeJuan Blair. Pitt will win a close one... again.
Saturday, March 28, 2009
Friday, March 27, 2009
Swing and a miss
Yesterday was about as bad as it gets as far as bad predictions go. Purdue was never really in the game and Pitt doesn't like winning games that don't come down to the wire. Tonight we'll try again and see if we can at least nick something.
$$$$ Gonzaga + 8 1/2 vs. UNC
These teams are a lot alike. Neither play defense, both have a good Caucasian big man and a pesky black point guard. Jeremy Pargo is no Ty Lawson, but in all honesty he's close. Pargo will be able to contain a hobbled Lawson and the Zags shoot the ball well enough to keep them within double digits. If the Zags shoot really well then they could pull off the upset. Take the Zags losing a close one.
$$$ Oklahoma in a pick em vs. Syracuse
I've watched both these teams play a number of games this year and after minutes of pondering this matchup I've concluded that the Sooners have the advantage here. Syracuse is a solid ball club and Johnny Flynn is one of the better guards/game breakers I've seen all year, but I don't see the post players of the Cuse stopping Blake Griffin. The Syracuse big men are big and mildly athletic, but they can't catch, finish, or guard someone without fouling. They really have a tough time containing their retard strength and that's going to be a major problem against Godzilla Griffin. Also, Oklahoma shoots the ball well from the outside and Syracuse only plays zone defense. Take the Sooners in close one.
$$$ Arizona + 9 1/2 vs. Lousville
I have to admit I'm surprised Louisville has made it this far. I thought that of all the 1 seeds they were the weakest and have been overrated all year. The fact is if Terrence Williams doesn't hit some 3's tonight they will lose. Every game they play from here on out hinges on his performance. Arizona is athletic, shoots well, and has solid post play. They are good enough to give Lousville a game.
$$$ Kansas + 1 1/2 vs. Michigan State
State hammered Kansas earlier in the year meaning this is a revenge game for the Jayhawks. I remember watching Kansas struggle early in the year and thinking how bad they were going to be. But the second half of the season Jayhawks are a different and MUCH better team than they were during the first half. Sherron Collins and Cole Aldridge are twice the players of anyone on USC's roster, and it took State the entire 40 minutes to put them away. Play the Jayhawks winning outright.
$$$$ Gonzaga + 8 1/2 vs. UNC
These teams are a lot alike. Neither play defense, both have a good Caucasian big man and a pesky black point guard. Jeremy Pargo is no Ty Lawson, but in all honesty he's close. Pargo will be able to contain a hobbled Lawson and the Zags shoot the ball well enough to keep them within double digits. If the Zags shoot really well then they could pull off the upset. Take the Zags losing a close one.
$$$ Oklahoma in a pick em vs. Syracuse
I've watched both these teams play a number of games this year and after minutes of pondering this matchup I've concluded that the Sooners have the advantage here. Syracuse is a solid ball club and Johnny Flynn is one of the better guards/game breakers I've seen all year, but I don't see the post players of the Cuse stopping Blake Griffin. The Syracuse big men are big and mildly athletic, but they can't catch, finish, or guard someone without fouling. They really have a tough time containing their retard strength and that's going to be a major problem against Godzilla Griffin. Also, Oklahoma shoots the ball well from the outside and Syracuse only plays zone defense. Take the Sooners in close one.
$$$ Arizona + 9 1/2 vs. Lousville
I have to admit I'm surprised Louisville has made it this far. I thought that of all the 1 seeds they were the weakest and have been overrated all year. The fact is if Terrence Williams doesn't hit some 3's tonight they will lose. Every game they play from here on out hinges on his performance. Arizona is athletic, shoots well, and has solid post play. They are good enough to give Lousville a game.
$$$ Kansas + 1 1/2 vs. Michigan State
State hammered Kansas earlier in the year meaning this is a revenge game for the Jayhawks. I remember watching Kansas struggle early in the year and thinking how bad they were going to be. But the second half of the season Jayhawks are a different and MUCH better team than they were during the first half. Sherron Collins and Cole Aldridge are twice the players of anyone on USC's roster, and it took State the entire 40 minutes to put them away. Play the Jayhawks winning outright.
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Groin shot
Wow was yesterday frustrating. The Celtics cover in a comeback but the Jazz fail to stay within three thanks to the horrendous play of sloth-mo Mehmet Okur. He was BRUTAL! He missed three straight free throws and air balled the final two shots of the game. Parlay his play with the Knicks blowing a 16 point lead and we've got a pretty unlucky night. I will not bet on the Knicks EVER AGAIN. It's hard to tell when teams like the Knicks are going to take a shit or hit a homerun and I'm tired of guessing. They lose to the Clippers at home and beat the Heat on the road the night after losing in three OT's! I should know better than to bet on teams that are bad and bi-polar.
Tonight let's see if we can stop the bleeding and my bitching by betting on the BIG DANCE.
$$$$ Purdue + 7 1/2 vs. Uconn
Purdue just might win this game. For the first time in the tourny Uconn is really going to miss Dyson. Purdue will be in Husky shorts all night and Robbie Hummel will give a lazy Uconn defense fits. 6'10 JaJuan Johnson will do just enough to disrupt Thebeet and help the Boilermakers pull off an unexpected upset. Don't underestimate Purdue, dees boys can play.
$$$$ Pitt -7 vs. Xavier
Pitt's struggled a bit in their opening round games, but they won't struggle tonight against an average Xavier club. Xavier's defense looked great against Wisconsin because they were playing Wisconsin. They are outmatched at nearly every position and they won't have an answer for Blair. Look for Xavier to hang around in the first half before losing in double digit fashion.
Tonight let's see if we can stop the bleeding and my bitching by betting on the BIG DANCE.
$$$$ Purdue + 7 1/2 vs. Uconn
Purdue just might win this game. For the first time in the tourny Uconn is really going to miss Dyson. Purdue will be in Husky shorts all night and Robbie Hummel will give a lazy Uconn defense fits. 6'10 JaJuan Johnson will do just enough to disrupt Thebeet and help the Boilermakers pull off an unexpected upset. Don't underestimate Purdue, dees boys can play.
$$$$ Pitt -7 vs. Xavier
Pitt's struggled a bit in their opening round games, but they won't struggle tonight against an average Xavier club. Xavier's defense looked great against Wisconsin because they were playing Wisconsin. They are outmatched at nearly every position and they won't have an answer for Blair. Look for Xavier to hang around in the first half before losing in double digit fashion.
Good teams getting points :)
We split yesterday as Baylor continued playing out of their minds and Penn State proved why the SEC only got three teams in the big dance compared to the Big Ten's 7.
Today we venture back into the black and sprinkled white world of the NBA.
$$$$ Celtics + 3 1/2 @ Orlando
Guess what? The Celtics are healthy again! And Jameer Nelson is still out for the Season for Orlando! And the Celts are still the defending champions! And they are getting points! Take the Celts and run with the points as Garnett gets enough playing time to help his team win outright.
$$$$ Jazz + 3 @ Phoenix
Simply put, the Jazz are a much better team than the Suns. As long as the Jazz are healthy they don't struggle on the road. And if your bookie offers it, take the over on Derron Williams for total points + assists. I got him at 32. He could be over that by halftime.
$$$$ Knicks - 7 vs. Clippers
The Knicks are coming off a tough loss at home against the Magic two nights ago and will be looking to put a beating on a Clippers team that's used to taking one. Take the Knicks in a lady of the night BLOWOUT.
Today we venture back into the black and sprinkled white world of the NBA.
$$$$ Celtics + 3 1/2 @ Orlando
Guess what? The Celtics are healthy again! And Jameer Nelson is still out for the Season for Orlando! And the Celts are still the defending champions! And they are getting points! Take the Celts and run with the points as Garnett gets enough playing time to help his team win outright.
$$$$ Jazz + 3 @ Phoenix
Simply put, the Jazz are a much better team than the Suns. As long as the Jazz are healthy they don't struggle on the road. And if your bookie offers it, take the over on Derron Williams for total points + assists. I got him at 32. He could be over that by halftime.
$$$$ Knicks - 7 vs. Clippers
The Knicks are coming off a tough loss at home against the Magic two nights ago and will be looking to put a beating on a Clippers team that's used to taking one. Take the Knicks in a lady of the night BLOWOUT.
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Making the NIT interesting
Carmello was easy yesterday but we got really lucky with Billups barely going over his number of 27 1/2. For those of you who didn't see the game, the Nuggets were down by 3 with 6 seconds left and Billups sitting at 18 and 8 (26). Instead of letting the Nuggets shoot a three, the Suns fouled Billups intentionally and he netted both free throws. What a cover!
Tonight Tony Parker's player prop for points + assists is inflated to 31 1/1 because he's playing the Warriors. Like I said yesterday, Parker's gone OVER in six straight but this is the first game his number has been in the 30's. If I knew tonight's game were going to be close I'd jump all over Parker, but I have a feeling its going to be a blowout and Parker won't play much in the second half. Either way I don't think it's a bad bet.
The NIT has been doing a nice job of appetizing me until the big games on this weekend, and tonight I plan on betting on both of the quarter final games.
$$$$ Auburn -3 vs. Baylor
Up until the Big 12 tournament I had made a lot of money betting AGAINST Baylor almost every game they played on the road. I was probably 6-0 until I bet against them when they beat Kansas in the first round of their conference tournament. Since then they've been hot, murdering teams at home and on the road in the NIT. But this HAS TO STOP. And tonight it will against an Auburn team that has defended their home court as well as anyone the second half of the season. The Tigers are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 at home. Baylor's streak ends tonight in blowout fashion.
$$$ Penn State + 10 1/2 @ Florida
I know it's tough to play in Gainesville, but this line should be covered by a Penn State team who does something that no team in the SEC has seen all season. THEY PLAY DEFENSE. I think Florida will still win the game, but Penn State will slow the tempo and make it close. Look for Taylor Battle's last second heroics to fall short tonight as the Gators win by 2.
Tonight Tony Parker's player prop for points + assists is inflated to 31 1/1 because he's playing the Warriors. Like I said yesterday, Parker's gone OVER in six straight but this is the first game his number has been in the 30's. If I knew tonight's game were going to be close I'd jump all over Parker, but I have a feeling its going to be a blowout and Parker won't play much in the second half. Either way I don't think it's a bad bet.
The NIT has been doing a nice job of appetizing me until the big games on this weekend, and tonight I plan on betting on both of the quarter final games.
$$$$ Auburn -3 vs. Baylor
Up until the Big 12 tournament I had made a lot of money betting AGAINST Baylor almost every game they played on the road. I was probably 6-0 until I bet against them when they beat Kansas in the first round of their conference tournament. Since then they've been hot, murdering teams at home and on the road in the NIT. But this HAS TO STOP. And tonight it will against an Auburn team that has defended their home court as well as anyone the second half of the season. The Tigers are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 at home. Baylor's streak ends tonight in blowout fashion.
$$$ Penn State + 10 1/2 @ Florida
I know it's tough to play in Gainesville, but this line should be covered by a Penn State team who does something that no team in the SEC has seen all season. THEY PLAY DEFENSE. I think Florida will still win the game, but Penn State will slow the tempo and make it close. Look for Taylor Battle's last second heroics to fall short tonight as the Gators win by 2.
Monday, March 23, 2009
Player Prop Me
From the words of George Costanza, "I'm back in business baby!" Kind of. Two weeks away from this site has allowed me to recollect and think about where I make the bulk of my money betting. It all changes really, (as does my "bulk") but lately I've made some nice bank on NBA player props. Every night I bet on two players to go OVER their set line. Those two are Chris Paul, who's usually around 34 1/2 total points + assists, and Tony Parker at either 23 points or 28 1/2 points + assists. Paul has gone over 4 of his last 5 games and Parker has gone over in 6 straight! This is easy money! Paul will always get near his number, and Parker's gonna keep on scoring as long as Ginobli is out.
Since I don't like many games today I'll give you a few play props to think about.
$$$$ Chauncey Billups OVER 27 1/2 points + assists @ Phoenix
Billups has average a combined 30 in his previous two games against Phoenix. The thing about the Suns is they don't like defense, so, they don't play any.
For the same reason I also like...
$$$$ Carmello Anthony OVER 23 points @ Phoenix
Anthony should easily reach his 22.3 PPG average tonight and if he doesn't then Chauncey is a lock for his over. Betting two players to have a slightly above average night against the worst defense in the league is a good way to hedge. One of these guys should hit. If we go 1-1, ehh, fine. But I can't see the Suns keeping both of them under their average.
Since I don't like many games today I'll give you a few play props to think about.
$$$$ Chauncey Billups OVER 27 1/2 points + assists @ Phoenix
Billups has average a combined 30 in his previous two games against Phoenix. The thing about the Suns is they don't like defense, so, they don't play any.
For the same reason I also like...
$$$$ Carmello Anthony OVER 23 points @ Phoenix
Anthony should easily reach his 22.3 PPG average tonight and if he doesn't then Chauncey is a lock for his over. Betting two players to have a slightly above average night against the worst defense in the league is a good way to hedge. One of these guys should hit. If we go 1-1, ehh, fine. But I can't see the Suns keeping both of them under their average.
Saturday, March 21, 2009
TRAPLINE NOTE
To all trapliners:
I've been swamped with work and a bothered by a relentless cold/flu/fever for over a week. This site will be up and running again by MONDAY. Sorry for the recent time off!!
-Miyagi
I've been swamped with work and a bothered by a relentless cold/flu/fever for over a week. This site will be up and running again by MONDAY. Sorry for the recent time off!!
-Miyagi
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